Mon. Dec 10th, 2018

Here’s What we All must Buy and Sell after Week 6 of the College Football Season

Week 6 of the college football season was a wild one.  There where plenty of upsets, rivalries, and comebacks to keep up on.  We have learned a lot about the college football world heading into the second half of the season.  So, here’s what teams, conferences, and players to buy or sell heading into week 7.

Sell: Benny Snell’s dark horse Heisman candidacy

Before 2018 Benny Snell was a solid running back for the Wildcats.  In two seasons he had acquired nearly 2,400 rushing yards and 31 touchdowns.  But, in 2018 Snell took off as the workhorse Kentucky needed.  Through just five games Snell had racked up 639 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns, giving him Heisman recognition, and carrying Kentucky to a top 15 ranking for the first time in over 10 years.  This all might have came to an end Saturday as Kentucky was handed its first loss of the season at the hands Texas A&M, while Snell only managed 60 yards on the ground, and couldn’t find the end zone.  It will be an uphill battle for Kentucky to win the SEC East as they still have to play Georgia on the road.  As for Snells’ Heisman chances, it is hard enough to win as a non-quarterback, but with a lack of big games remaining it will not be easy for Snell to regain the hype he once had.

Buy: Texas’ Big 12 Title odds

Texas picked up its biggest win of the season Saturday, taking down Oklahoma in an absolute thriller.  Texas was able to hold off Oklahoma’s comeback bid with a last second field goal.  Texas is now 5-1 (3-0 in Big 12 play) and only has one remaining game verse a ranked opponent.  November 3rd they will have a huge game against West Virginia, but they will be playing at home. Beating Oklahoma was huge for the Longhorns as they now hold the tiebreaker against them.  That will be very important if Oklahoma and Texas finish with the same conference record by the end of this season.  If Texas can find a way to finish 10-2 they could be playing for a Big 12 title during the first weekend of December.

Sell: The SEC’s bid at having two playoff teams

 Coming into the 2018 season, the SEC had the best chances out of any conference to send two teams to the playoff, just like they did last year.  By week 6 it looked even more likely that the SEC would somehow sneak two teams into the playoff, with five teams ranked within the top 15.  After week 6 those odds took a huge hit, as three of those teams lost to opponents that where either ranked below them or unranked.  Number five LSU was handed its first loss to Florida as they struggled to move the ball all day against a stout Florida defense.  They now face a daunting three week stretch where they will have to play the top two teams in the nation in Alabama and Georgia.  Eighth ranked Auburn lost for the second time Saturday against unranked Mississippi State.  Having two losses will basically eliminate a team from any playoff consideration, as a two loss team has yet to crack the top four and make the college football playoff.  Finally, as mentioned earlier, 14th ranked Kentucky lost to Texas A&M.  Yes, the SEC still has the two highest ranked teams in the nation, but their chances of getting two teams to the playoff took a huge hit Saturday.

Buy: Penn States playoff chances

Many people thought after their week 5 loss to Ohio State that Penn State had virtually no chance of making the playoff.  However, after several week 6 losses, Penn State is right back in the playoff hunt.  Oklahoma losing to Texas, LSU losing to Florida, and Auburn losing to Mississippi State all helped Penn State in huge ways.  Arguably, all three of those teams that lost now have a harder road to the playoff then Penn State.  The Nittany Lions still have several games to prove themselves worthy of a playoff spot with games at Michigan, and against Wisconsin.  Additionally, the playoff committee has not shied away from inserting nonconference champions into the playoff.  In 2016 Ohio State made the playoff despite not winning their conference, and again in 2017 Alabama lost its conference, yet went on to win the national championship.  If Penn State can finish 11-1 with their only loss coming against an elite Ohio State team then look for Penn State to potentially land its first playoff bid in school history.

Sell: Oklahoma’s defense

Oklahoma suffered a huge loss on Saturday to the Texas Longhorns, and their offense certainly was not to blame.  Kyler Murray had another outstanding game, compiling nearly 400 yards of offense and 5 touchdowns.  However, no matter how great Kyler Murray is, the Sooner’s defense will need to step up in order for Oklahoma to win another Big 12 title and return to the playoff.  Texas gashed the Oklahoma defense for just over 500 yards, and if that was not enough they also forced 0 turnovers and had only one sack.  Before this game Oklahoma’s defense was never great, but this week they took a major step in the wrong direction.  Oklahoma will ultimately still end up controlling their own destiny, but their hardest remaining game is on the road verse a potent West Virginia offense lead by Heisman candidate Will Grier.  Oklahoma can still win the Big 12, but if they want to go any further than that they will need to address their issues on defense.

Buy: Notre Dame as a playoff team

Notre Dame has yet to make the playoff since it started back in 2014, but that might come to an end this year.  Notre Dame is 6-0 with three wins over ranked opponents, and no ranked games left on their schedule.  Although they are not in a conference, it would be very hard to keep a 12-0 Notre Dame team out of the playoff.  The emergence of Ian Book as the starting QB, and the return of Dexter Williams has really sparked the Notre Dame offense.  The Irish will likely be favored in all six of their remaining games, and end up having their best shot at a playoff berth since its formation.

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