Sun. Dec 9th, 2018

College Football Rivalry Week Picks: Oregon, Oklahoma, Florida, and More!

Uh… I went 1-7-2 last week, that brings my record to 87-72 on the year which is tough after starting off so hot. But nonetheless we shall bounce back on rivalry week!
Colorado State At Air Force -14: Colorado State is coming off a heartbreaking loss to Utah State after a potential game winning touchdown was taken off the board because of an illegal touching penalty. Now that Colorado State team has to play a triple option attack on a short week? I like Air Force to absolutely roll in this one due to limited motivation from the Rams defense.
Buffalo -14 At Bowling Green: Buffalo is a solid team, but they just got demolished by Ohio in a game that shouldn’t really bother the Bulls. With a win in this game Buffalo will clinch the MAC East and play in Detroit for the MAC championship while the Bobcats and Frank Solich will be left saying “what if.” Tyree Jackson is still ridiculously talented and Bowling Green hasn’t completely fixed their defensive issues, I expect Buffalo to dominate this one.
Texas -14.5 At Kansas: Kansas is still Kansas, don’t let the fact that they scored 40 points against Oklahoma’s Swiss cheese defense distract you from that fact. Tom Herman is also playing for a spot in the Big 12 title game so I’d expect a razor sharp attention to detail all week in practice. If you disagree with this pick, Ok Cool. Hook Em.
East Carolina At Cincinnati under 52: Cincinnati couldn’t score against UCF offensively, and while East Carolina doesn’t have much talent on that side of the ball, I’d expect a solid effort from the Pirates. On the other side of the balls, Cincinnati still has probably the best defense in the conference and East Carolina’s 117’th ranked offense isn’t scaring Luke Fickel and this Bearcats defense. I’ll take the under.
Oregon -16 At Oregon State: The Beavers have the 129’th ranked defense in the nation, Justin Herbert will have a field day against that. I’ll take the Ducks in a huge one.
Oklahoma -1.5 At West Virginia over 84: Oklahoma’s offense isn’t getting stopped by anybody, I think they put up around 50 points in this contest and Will Grier will have tons of success of his own. However at the end of the day I’m simply betting Kyler Murray and only giving up 1.5 points to a non playoff contender? I’ll take that. Also Oklahoma overs, they’re good.
Washington +3 At Washington State: I’ve trashed Jake Browning time and time again, but this Huskies team has plenty of talented players around him that I expect them to end the fairytale season of Mike Leech’s Cougars. Wazzu has been crushed time and time again in this rivalry and I’d expect this contest to be much more competitive but with the Huskies taking it. Wazzu simply doesn’t have the NFL defensive talent that Washington does and Myles Gaskin could run wild against a weak defense.
Marshall -2.5 At Florida International: I simply think this Thundering Herd team is way better than FIU. The Panthers have been impressive against weaker competition this season but when they play teams at or above their skill level they get exposed. I think that happens again when Marshall makes the trip south.
Purdue -4 At Indiana: Jeff Brohm isn’t leaving Purdue without going to another bowl game, this Purdue team has way too much offensive talent to have their season end at the hands of an average Hooiers team. I think Jeff Brohm develops an awesome gameplay to get David Blough easy completions to Rondale Moore and let Moore and Dj Knox running wild against the 74’th ranked rushing defense in the country.
Florida -5 At Florida State: I know I bet against the Seminoles last week and got burned but I’m eager to do it again. This FSU team simply cannot block anyone and I know Florida will be chomping at the bit to end FSU’s bowl streak. I know most would say the motivation is on the Seminoles side but I think this could work against them, imagine being the Florida team that could say that they ended the streak that Florida State had of making a bowl game, that’d be pretty special. I think the Gators do just that and end Willie Taggart’s first season in charge in a bad way.
Michigan At Ohio State over 56.5: I just watched this Buckeyes defense get ran all over by Maryland, giving up over 50 points in the process, now Michigan comes to the Shoe and the total isn’t even 60? I’ll take an over. I know rivalry games have a different feel to them sometimes and the stereotype of throw out the records isn’t true but isn’t completely false, but I have to take an over here. Michigan’s passing game hasn’t gotten the love it deserves because of a lack of totals numbers but the Wolverines have the 7’th ranked passing offense in the country, Jim Harbaugh has figured out his offense. Meanwhile Dwayne Haskins has been forced to make plays for a Buckeyes team that can’t run the ball successfully, so a passing attack from the Buckeyes will lead to more yards, more plays, and hopefully, more points.
UAB -2 At Middle Tennessee: I’m simply not sold on the Blue Raiders this season. They have been a solid team in conference but whenever they played an SEC opponent they got killed. I know UAB is coming off a rough loss to A&M but they were more competitive than Middle Tennessee was in any of their contests, I’ll take the Blazers.
SMU -2 At Tulsa: I’m not saying SMU is good at all, but laying less than a field goal against a team who doesn’t have anything left to play for and SMU needs a win to go to a bowl? I think the Mustangs are probably a little less than a touchdown better regardless but with this added motivation I’m shocked the line didn’t open higher.
Charlotte At Florida Atlantic -17.5: Charlotte just fired their coach and FAU has underperformed expectations all season. Lane Kiffin is a win away from making a bowl and I think he puts a hurting on the 49’ers. Owls by a lot.
Kentucky At Louisville under 51: I’m not sure how Louisville gets over 14 points in this one, Kentucky would have to score 37 or more if that happens and I’ll take my chances against that with Terry Wilson still hurling passes for the Wildcats. Granted Louisville could literally not show up and give up 60 points on the ground but that’s the risk you take gambling on anything.
LSU At Texas A&M -2.5: Really around of LSU for finally having a better success rate than their opponents after the Rice game. Impressive stuff. I’ll fade the Tigers happily here.
Utah State +3 At Boise State: Last time I faded the Broncos on the blue turf with a team I thought was better I got burned, but here we are again. Maybe I didn’t learn my lesson, or maybe I’m right. Guess we’ll have to find out.
Hawaii At San Diego State over 54: Final pick of the regular season is an over in a Hawaii game, fitting end to the season. Good luck everybody.

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