All posts by lukaskacer04

The Case for a new QB1: Matt Ryan Fantasy Player Profile 2019


In the fantasy football world that we are in today it is hard to be against Patrick Mahomes when it comes to QB1 talks, but I am confident in the fact that Patrick Mahomes will not finish as the QB1 overall. It may seem impossible to have the facts to prove it, but I have found a strong argument in favor of MY QB1.

Matt Ryan in his career with the Atlanta Falcons has thrived when playing indoors, and lucky for him he gets to play 8 games in a dome every year therefore giving me a solid sample size to prove my take. We will start with the 2016 season where Ryan had 9 indoor games, 8 home and 1 away, and in those 9 indoor games he averaged 24.75 fantasy points per game which led him to an overall QB2 finish.

After the Falcons disappointing 2017 season it seemed almost impossible for Matt Ryan to bounce back and become an elite fantasy quarterback again, but he proved everyone wrong finishing as the QB2 overall. Again with 9 indoor games Matt Ryan was able to average a solid 24.1 fantasy points per game while facing the 13th easiest fantasy schedule towards quarterbacks.

Although these are just random averages towards the indoor games Matt Ryan played, they all translate to my decision to make Matt Ryan my QB1. For this upcoming season Matt Ryan gets to play 12 GAMES INDOORS, and as I have already stated and shown above Matt Ryan thrives in indoor games. With a solid floor of 12 games in a dome and two new additions to the offensive line it only seems fitting that Matty Ice is going to have a great season. Not to mention he has a new offensive coordinator in Dirk Koetter who has a great sample size in terms of pass heavy offenses in his coaching career.

To top this off, you are even able to get Matt Ryan about 5 rounds later than the public’s QB1 Patrick Mahomes. So, hop off the comfortable QB hype train and join me and watch Matt Ryan lead your team to a fantasy championship.


Mike Evans Fantasy Outlook 2019

2018 Stats: WR9, 284.4 pts, 17.8 pts/game
2019 ADP: WR8 | 2.10

It seems almost impossible to forecast Mike Evans fantasy production since last year we had no clue who would be throwing him the ball every game. With Ryan “Fitz magic” Fitzpatrick on the Dolphins that leaves Jameis Winston in line to eat some W’s while throwing him the ball.

At first glance, it may be concerning that Mike Evans averaged more fantasy points per game while Fitzpatrick was under center (splits listed below), but the difference in points for each split should not be considered when viewing Mike Evans status for the 2019 season as some of Evans best games were when both quarterbacks got playing time in the same game.

Games with Ryan Fitzpatrick: 17.48
Games with Jameis Winston: 16.53

Mike Evans should see solid production from his new coach, Bruce Arians, for Arians has produced solid fantasy seasons for the respected WR1 on each team. Arians WR1 history is listed below for his last 3 seasons with the Cardinals.

2015: Fitzgerald (WR4), 16 games—> 261.4 pts
2016: Fitzgerald (WR11), 16 games—> 244.9 pts
2017: Fitzgerald (WR7), 16 games—-> 280.5 pts

In that 3 year stretch Arians also tailored his offense to the passing side when it came to his run pass ratio. Splits for the same 3 years listed below.

2015: 40/60
2016: 38/62
2017: 45/55

My Projection

Mike Evans, for the 2019 season, will be a low end WR1 and a high end WR2. He will not provide the “elite” fantasy production required to be a Tier 1 fantasy wide receiver, but he will sustain enough production that can allow you to address running back early in your draft and still be content with drafting Evans in the late second round. I am giving Mike Evans a risk rating of 3 for the 2019 season with 1 being low and 10 being high. Every year, Evans produces at one of the safest floors when it comes to wide receivers in fantasy, but with a small sample size of games with Winston there is some caution as to if he can sustain WR1 status for the 2019 season.



Julio Jones vs Michael Thomas: Who Should You Draft?

Somehow the NFC South managed to acquire two of the top wide receivers in the NFL and in fantasy football. Julio Jones and Michael Thomas have finished as two of the top 5 fantasy wide receivers for the last 2 seasons, a trend that is going to continue. However, those of you drafting early in the first round will likely be forced to pick one of these two; and one pick stands out the most to me.

Continue reading Julio Jones vs Michael Thomas: Who Should You Draft?

2 Fantasy Football Busts Candidates for 2019: Tyler Lockett and Sony Michel

Every year in the fantasy football world players disappoint fantasy owners in terms of production on the field. Fantasy Owners everywhere can agree that the worst feeling is when you spend a top pick on a player that ends up not producing. Listed below are two players that I think are being too overhyped and will underperform on the season.

Continue reading 2 Fantasy Football Busts Candidates for 2019: Tyler Lockett and Sony Michel